What’s Going On in Bitcoin This Week? (20–30 Nov 2025)

Accurate Bitcoin analysis for 20–30 November 2025: price levels, ETF flows, macro data, and trading scenarios to manage risk in a volatile week.

What’s Going On in Bitcoin This Week? (20–30 November 2025)

If you opened your trading app this week and saw Bitcoin much lower than earlier in November, you’re not alone.

Between 20 and 30 November 2025, Bitcoin is going through one of its harshest corrections of the year:

• Price has dropped back into the $80K+ zone after trading above $100K earlier in the month.
• Volatility is back in full force, with intraday swings of several thousand dollars.
• Sentiment has flipped from greed to extreme fear in just a few sessions.

In this article, I’ll walk you through:

• Where Bitcoin stands right now
• Why price is falling (with real examples from how traders are reacting)
• Key levels and macro dates to watch this week
• Three realistic scenarios for the rest of November
• A simple risk-management approach you can actually use

Quick summary if you’re in a hurry

• Trend: sharp correction inside a broader bull cycle.
• Price zone: BTC is oscillating around the low–mid $80,000s, far below the recent $100K+ highs.
• Main drivers:
  
  • Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows (institutions taking profit)
  • Leverage wash-out on futures and perpetuals
  • A macro backdrop of strong US growth + sticky inflation, which pressures risk assets
• Key levels this week:
  
  • Support: around $80K–82K, then deeper zone toward $77K–74.5K
  • Resistance: $90K–92K
• Critical dates:
  
  • 25 November: US PPI (inflation at the producer level)
  • 26 November: US GDP (Q3, 2nd estimate) + Core PCE (Fed’s favourite inflation metric) + Durable Goods

If you only remember one thing:

This is a high-volatility “reset” week where macro data and ETF flows matter as much as the chart.

Bitcoin price snapshot (20–21 November 2025)

At the start of this week:

• Bitcoin has given back a large part of its November gains, trading in the $80K+ region after failing to hold above $100K.
• Volatility and liquidations spiked as long positions got squeezed out.
• Crypto sentiment indices moved into “extreme fear”, similar to late-cycle corrections in previous bull markets.

A quick “real life” snapshot

In my own day-to-day work with traders, I’ve seen three typical reactions this week:

1. Late buyers near $100K feeling trapped
   
   • They entered when news and social media were euphoric.
   • Now they are either holding with stress or panic-selling near support.
3. Short-term scalpers loving the volatility
   
   • They are trading small, fast moves around key levels ($82K–90K).
   • Their focus is less on “where Bitcoin will be in a month” and more on today’s range.
5. Long-term holders barely moving
   
   • They see this as “just another -20% dump” inside a long-term structure.
   • Some are even setting laddered buy orders at lower levels.

Having this mental map helps: you can locate yourself and decide whether you are panicking, over-trading, or following a clear plan.

Why is Bitcoin dropping this week?

1. ETF flows flipping from tailwind to headwind

For most of 2025, spot Bitcoin ETFs were the main engine of the bull market:

• Regulated products allowed institutions and conservative investors to buy BTC easily.
• Week after week, ETF inflows absorbed selling and pushed price higher.

This week, the story is different:

• Several big spot BTC ETFs are now reporting significant daily outflows, not inflows.
• This means some institutional players are locking in profits or reducing risk.
• When ETFs sell instead of buy, all the classic “buy the dip” strategies become weaker.

From a flow perspective, it’s simple:

ETF outflows = more spot BTC hitting the market = heavier price.

If you watch this week’s price reaction around ETF flow reports, you’ll notice that many intraday spikes fade quickly whenever outflows are confirmed.

2. Derivatives: leverage being washed out

The second factor is the derivatives market (futures and perpetuals):

• During the rally above $100K, funding and open interest showed that a lot of traders were heavily long and leveraged.
• When price started to fall, liquidations cascaded:
  
  • One forced liquidation triggers more selling
  • That selling hits other stop-loss levels
  • Which again pushes price lower, creating a domino effect

Platforms like CoinGlass and exchange dashboards showed billions of dollars in liquidations across the market over a short period.

If you felt like “the drop was too fast to react”, that’s exactly how a leveraged flush looks from the outside.

3. Macro backdrop: strong US economy, sticky inflation

On top of crypto-specific factors, the macro environment is not particularly friendly right now:

• The US economy is still showing solid growth (strong GDP).
• Inflation is not yet back to the Fed’s 2% target.
• As a result, markets expect interest rates to stay high longer.

High rates + strong dollar are usually bad for risk assets like:

• Tech stocks
• High-growth equities
• Crypto (including Bitcoin)

That’s why this week, you can see correlation: when major indices and tech fall, Bitcoin often follows, or at least struggles to rally on its own.

Key price levels to watch (20–30 November 2025)

Reminder: levels are zones, not exact lines. The goal is to plan scenarios, not to “guess the number”.

Resistance zones

$90K–$92K

• This area used to act as support earlier in November.
• Now it’s a strong resistance where many traders who bought the top are waiting to exit “at break-even”.
• A daily close above $92K would be the first serious sign that bulls are taking back control.

Current battlefield

$82K–$86K

• This is where price is currently fighting this week.
• Buyers are trying to build a base; sellers still fade every bounce.
• Expect fake breakouts and sharp wicks in both directions.

Deeper support (if $80K fails)

$77K–$74.5K

• This zone is often mentioned by technical analysts as a deeper liquidity pocket.
• If BTC loses $80K with strong volume, price may “hunt” liquidity in this band.
• It’s the type of area where:
  
  • Short-term sentiment feels horrible
  • But longer-term investors may start deploying fresh capital

Macro & news calendar: why 25–26 November are critical

Between 20 and 30 November, the most important macro events are:

25 November – US PPI (Producer Price Index)

• Measures inflation before it reaches consumers.
• Higher-than-expected PPI:
  
  • Signals persistent inflation pressures
  • Can push yields and the dollar higher
  • Usually negative for Bitcoin and risk assets
• Lower-than-expected PPI:
  
  • Gives hope that inflation is cooling
  • May support a short-term bounce in BTC

26 November – US GDP (Q3, 2nd estimate) + Core PCE + Durable Goods

This is the data cluster day:

• GDP: confirms how strong or weak US growth really is.
• Core PCE: the Fed’s favourite inflation gauge.
• Durable Goods Orders: important for investment and demand.

How it links to Bitcoin this week:

• Strong GDP + sticky Core PCE
  
  • Market expects higher rates for longer
  • Dollar strengthens
  • Bitcoin faces headwinds
• Weaker GDP or softer Core PCE
  
  • Market sees more room for future rate cuts
  • Financial conditions may ease
  • Bitcoin can benefit through a relief rally or short squeeze

So essentially, this week feels like a countdown to 25–26 November, with price trying to find a temporary equilibrium before those numbers hit.

Three realistic scenarios for Bitcoin (20–30 November)

1. Bearish scenario – Break of $80K, slide towards mid-$70Ks

Conditions:

• ETF outflows stay very high or accelerate.
• PPI, GDP and Core PCE all come in stronger/hotter than expected.
• Risk assets (US indices, tech) continue to sell off.

What it might look like on the chart:

• BTC loses $80K with strong downside volume.
• Liquidations kick in again, pushing price into the $77K–$74.5K zone.
• Social media narrative shifts fully to “cycle top”.

In this scenario, it’s less about “is Bitcoin dead?” and more about how deeply this cycle will correct before new demand appears.

2. Range scenario – Choppy between $82K and $92K

Conditions:

• $80K–82K holds as support on daily closes.
• ETF outflows slow down; some days even show small inflows.
• Macro data are mixed – nothing extreme in either direction.

What it might look like:

• Price spends most of the week bouncing inside $82K–$92K.
• Short-term traders scalp the range; many false breakouts.
• Long-term investors mostly wait for clearer signals.

This is the most “annoying” scenario for impatient traders, but healthy from a market structure perspective: time-based correction instead of only price-based.

3. Bullish scenario – Recovery back towards $95K–$100K

Conditions:

• BTC quickly reclaims $90K–$92K and holds above it.
• ETF flows flip to consistent net inflows, even if not as strong as earlier in the year.
• Macro data come in softer, or central bank communication sounds more dovish.

What it might look like:

• Bears who shorted late are forced to cover.
• Price accelerates back into the $95K–$100K region.
• Narrative switches back to “deep but healthy correction inside a bull cycle”.

Reclaiming and holding new all-time highs would probably require more than just this week – think in terms of several weeks of constructive data and flows.

Risk-management: how to survive this kind of week

This is not financial advice – it’s a risk-management checklist you can adapt.

1. Decide your time horizon first

Are you:

• A day trader trying to play intraday moves?
• A swing trader with a 1–4 week horizon?
• A long-term investor thinking in years?

If you don’t decide that up front, you’ll:

• Enter like a day trader
• Hold like an investor
• And panic like a beginner

2. Define your invalidation level

For example:

• “If BTC closes below $80K with strong volume, I reduce my risk.”
• Or: “If we revisit $74–75K, I only deploy X% of my planned capital.”

The goal is not to be right all the time. The goal is to stay in the game.

3. Be realistic about leverage

In a week with:

• High volatility
• Macro uncertainty
• ETF-driven flows

…high leverage can be deadly. Many accounts that were “right on direction” still got liquidated because their position size was too big for this kind of environment.